Startups bring in a fractional CFO or advisor right around the first raise, and that raise comes a median of about 5 months after the company registers. Fundz scores each new registration in your states for the odds of a first raise. In a sealed Colorado test the top tier raised at 58 times the base rate; live on 2025 registrations, 1 in 38 filed a Form D within a year.
Each company was in the top tier when we scored its 2025 registration record alone, and announced a round within a year. Hits like these are the minority: about 1 in 38 top-tier companies filed a first Form D within a year. Checked against public reporting on Oct 14, 2026.
New company registrations in 12 states, scored every day for the odds of a first raise. The top tier comes first, so you read a short list instead of thousands of filings.
Arriving companies already exist and are registering in your state, the group most raisers came from. Just formed companies are brand new. Each sits in its own lane.
Each company comes with what it does, its website and the evidence behind the match, marked Confirmed, Likely or Unconfirmed, or "not on the web yet" when it is still quiet.
The people tied to each company on one card, so the next step is a call, not more research.
Move companies through New, In progress, Watching, Won and Passed, and mark Contacted, Replied or Meeting as you go.
Save the states and lanes you work, and export the list to CSV for your CRM.
Scored from the registration record alone. Sealed tests were opened once, at the end. The live check was measured in October 2026.
Our earlier score published a 0.97% rate for its second tier. It measured 0.11% and we withdrew it. Read the full method and results
Fractional CFOs, controllers, heads of people and go-to-market advisors are usually hired right around the first raise. Fundz scores each new company registration in 12 states daily for the odds of that raise. In a sealed Colorado test the top tier raised at 58 times the base rate, and the median company filed its Form D about 5 months after registering. That is the window to become the advisor they already know.
In the study, about 17 companies were reviewed for every one that raised at the top 1% of scores, and about 65 at the top 5%. Live on 2025 registrations, about 1 in 38 top-tier companies filed a first Form D within a year. It is a short list to work, not a sure thing.
Once a round is announced, every advisor and vendor reads the same news on the same morning. Before the raise, the founder is still deciding who to trust with the numbers.
In sealed tests on 937,000 registrations nobody looked at while the model was built, the top tier raised at 6.19% in Colorado (283 of 4,574, 95% CI 5.53 to 6.92%), 58 times the base rate, and 4.20% in Connecticut (82 of 1,951), 79 times the base rate, in a state the model never saw. Checked live on 3,201 top-tier companies registered January to mid-October 2025, 2.7% (about 1 in 38, CI 2.2 to 3.3%) filed a first Form D within a year, 27 times the 0.10% base. Measured October 2026.
A score is odds, not a promise: most top-tier companies do not raise within a year. Scores are less certain in states that do not publish where a company was formed (Texas, Pennsylvania, Iowa, Mississippi, Ohio and DC). Fundz scores registrations in 12 states daily, so a company that registers only elsewhere is not on the list yet.
Inception is part of the Strategic plan, built for consultants and advisors. Book 15 minutes and we will pull up the top-tier companies in your states, or see plan options.
15 minutes on screen: tell us your states and the clients you serve, and we will pull up the ranked list with you. Inception is part of the Strategic plan.